the state of developer risk 2026

How much developer risk is going unseen?

AI coding agents are writing and merging code. Access tokens remain active long after projects end. Permissions accumulate, and controls meant to protect production are bypassed.

How much of it can your security team see?

BlueFlag Security’s inaugural State of Developer Risk report examines the human developers, non-human identities, and AI coding agents acting on enterprise code, alongside the tools and pipelines they work through.

Built on anonymized production metadata spanning tens of thousands of identities and active access tokens, the report shows where the development environment is left open:

  • Unused permissions
  • Unmonitored behavior
  • Weakened controls

Measured, not surveyed.

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key findings

A look beneath the surface

83%

of organizations run AI coding agents without formal approval.

Agents are already working inside development environments before organizations have established which ones are approved.

68%

of the identities AI coding agents operate under hold administrator permissions.

Agents inherit permissions that let them bypass reviews, switch protections off, and grant permissions to others.

61%

of the permissions granted to the average developer are never used.

Permissions accumulate as roles and projects change and stay in place long after the work that required them has ended.

56%

of organizations merged code despite failed checks.

Tests and security scans can flag a problem without stopping the change.

inside the report

See where development risk takes shape

The report connects who, and what, can reach the repositories, the permissions they hold, and how they behave to the controls that decide what reaches production.

Measured from real development environments

The findings come from anonymized, aggregated production metadata across a representative subset of BlueFlag’s enterprise customers, with engineering teams ranging from a few hundred to several thousand developers.

The analysis examines identities, permissions, and activity without reading, storing, or copying source code.

Get the full picture of developer risk

Download The State of Developer Risk 2026 for 25 findings on the identities, tools, and pipelines shaping risk across the software development lifecycle, plus recommendations for security and engineering leaders.

Download the Report